Carolinas Weather Update: March 13, 2022

Hello and welcome to the return of the weekly blog.  This is the weather summary for Monday March 14-Saturday March 19, 2022, for southeast NC and northeast SC.

Our weather will be quiet Monday and Tuesday.  Low pressure moving through the southeast will bring the threat for showers Tuesday night into early Thursday, followed by dry weather and warming temperatures.

(Click/tap on the image to enlarge.)

Old man winter is making one last stand with sub-freezing temperatures Sunday night/early Monday morning.  After that, there is no indication whatsoever that we'll have temperatures below 40°F through the end of the month of March.

A wave of low pressure is expected to become organized Tuesday along the Gulf Coast.  This will move to a position over northern Florida by Wednesday, and then off the Carolina coast early Thursday.  I expect rain showers to develop late Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday night.  Wednesday looks wet with scattered to numerous showers... coming to an end Wednesday night or early Thursday.  Both the GFS and European modeling shows some showers lingering early Thursday morning.  Click on the images to enlarge.

Storm total rainfall from this event, as of now, should be less than one inch... but Wednesday will be a fairly rainy day.

After that, I expect dry conditions Thursday and Friday, but clouds will be on the increase Friday ahead of the next frontal system, which may bring shower chances next weekend.  Temperatures will warm well into the 70s ahead of this next frontal system.

ALLERGY SEASON has arrived!!!  Our pollen counts are going to run on the medium-high side through the week, tempered a bit on Wednesday thanks to clouds and rain.  The primary allergens include Juniper, Birch, and Oak, per Pollen.com.

Looking ahead, I mentioned that the sub-freezing temps appear to be winter's last stand.  The Climate Prediction Center has a strong belief that much of the eastern half of the country is going to see above-normal temperatures through the end of the month.  Precipitation should average out near to slightly above normal.  Click on the images to enlarge.

MY FORECASTS:  Monday will be a bright sunny day across SE NC and NE SC.  After a frosty start, highs will be in the lower to middle 60s, a bit cooler right at the beaches.  Monday night should be clear with lows a few degrees either side of 40 inland, lower to middle 40s at the water's edge.  

For Tuesday expect clouds to be increasing throughout the day.  Temperatures will be a bit milder, near 70 inland with mid 60s at the beaches.  Expect shower chances to increase Tuesday night with lows in the mid 50s.  

Showers are likely area-wide on Wednesday with highs generally in the mid to upper 60s.  Those shower chances come to an end Thursday morning with clearing skies, and Friday should be partly sunny with highs around 70 at the beaches... into the mid 70s inland.

Okay that'll do it for tonight, I hope you find this information useful, and if you do, feel free to share!  Thank you for taking the time to read through this blog and let me know if there any ways I could improve this!

-Chris